← RDO Store Championships @ Favonia HQ [IPOH]

Fire Crux MageTier 1

at RDO Store Championships @ Favonia HQ [IPOH]

decks
2 (12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6 4-2-0
overall winrate
66.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
55.0% avg ELO +2.7 per match
expected value
53.3% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.5% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1331 · median 1331 · range 1235–1428 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1039 Q1 1221 Q3 1421 1460
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Aggro 12.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 45.7% -6.9
Water Tera Cleric 12.5% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 56.4% +6.1
Fire Luxem Assassin 6.2% 0
Fire Slimes 6.2% 0
Slimes 6.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.0% +11.3
Water Aetherwing 6.2% 0
Water Chess 6.2% 0
Water Crux Assassin 6.2% 0
Water Luxem Assassin 6.2% 0
Wind Luxem Assassin 6.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 60.5% +16.9
Wind Seiryuu 6.2% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 6.2% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 39.0% -17.6
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Fire Crux Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 23 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 23 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Resolute Stand +1.00 1 0 0
Cheshire Cat, Impish Grin +1.00 1 0 0
Palvor Sword +1.00 1 0 0
Gentle Respite +1.00 1 0 0
Crux Sight +1.00 1 0 0
Stalwart Shieldmate -1.00 0 1 0
Cremation Ritual -1.00 0 1 0
Crystallized Destiny -1.00 0 1 0
Spirit Blade: Ascension +1.00 1 0 0
Sabela, Gossamer Penance -1.00 0 1 0
Regal Inquisition +1.00 1 0 0
Reduce to Ash +1.00 1 0 0
Angel Attendant -1.00 0 1 0
Angelic Channeling -1.00 0 1 0
Viridian Protective Trinket -1.00 0 1 0
Nimue, Cursed Touch +1.00 1 0 0
Expel the Departed -1.00 0 1 0
Blanche, Sheltering Saint -1.00 0 1 0
Reprogram -1.00 0 1 0
Varuckan Acolyte -1.00 0 1 0
Facet the Forgotten -1.00 0 1 0
Protect Her At All Costs +1.00 1 0 0
Flared Iridescence -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/50290/archetypes/Fire Crux Mage