EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Atelier Alliance 3v3 Blend.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dawn of Ashes | 1 | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | 1419 | — |
| 2 | Fire Aetherwing | 2 | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | 1276 | ↓ low |
| 3 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | 1449 | — |
| 4 | Fire Oblation | 1 | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | 1496 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | 1234 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Fire Umbra Alice | 1 | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | 1563 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | 1184 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Luxem Mordred | 1 | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | 1269 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Water Aetherwing | 3 | 16.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | 1541 | ↑ top |
| 10 | Water Fractal | 1 | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | 1559 | ↑ top |
| 11 | Water Luxem Mordred | 1 | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | 1352 | — |
| 12 | Wind Allies | 1 | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | 1365 | — |
| 13 | Wind Seiryuu | 2 | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | 1354 | — |
| 14 | Wind Slimes | 1 | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | 1362 | — |