← GA Middle East Weekly RDO #2

Wind RazorgaleTier 1

at GA Middle East Weekly RDO #2

decks
2 (22.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4 3-1-0
overall winrate
75.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.0% avg ELO +0.0 per match
expected value
55.0% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.0% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1357 · median 1357 · range 1335–1379 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1111 Q1 1159 Q3 1378 1490
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Chess 11.1% 0
Fire Aetherwing 11.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.5% +0.7
Fire Slimes 11.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.0% +0.0
Fire Tera Mage 11.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.5% +0.8
Fire Umbra Alice 11.1% 0
Water Aetherwing 11.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 49.1% -1.5
Water Tera Kongming 11.1% 0
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Wind Razorgale decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 17 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 17 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Calming Breeze +1.00 1 0 0
Nox, Final Release -1.00 0 1 0
Imperial Alchemist -1.00 0 1 0
Obscured Offering +1.00 1 0 0
Fabricator Slime -1.00 0 1 0
Ensnaring Fumes +1.00 1 0 0
Speed Potion +1.00 1 0 0
Eternal Magistrate -1.00 0 1 0
Spellshield: Wind +1.00 1 0 0
Zinn, Volnia Abbess -1.00 0 1 0
Find Recipe -1.00 0 1 0
Reclaim -1.00 0 1 0
Stifling Trap -1.00 0 1 0
Cyclical Breeze +1.00 1 0 0
Tend the Land +1.00 1 0 0
Stifling Gyre +1.00 1 0 0
Break Apart +1.00 1 0 0

JSON: /api/events/50983/archetypes/Wind Razorgale