← GA Middle East Weekly RDO #3
Fire Crux MageTier 1
at GA Middle East Weekly RDO #3
decks
2
(25.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-2-1
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.7%
avg ELO +0.4 per match
expected value
50.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1234
· median 1234
· range 1134–1335
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1134
Q1 1153
Q3 1346
1490
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.0% | +1.5 |
| Fire Tera Mage | 12.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.2% | +0.2 |
| Water Neos | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.4% | +2.2 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Tera Kongming | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.8% | -1.9 |
