← GA Middle East Weekly RDO #4
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at GA Middle East Weekly RDO #4.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Allies | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 83.3% | 50.0% | 56.7% | 50.0% | 1490 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 83.3% | 51.3% | 56.7% | 50.6% | 1190 | ↓ low |
| 3 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 49.0% | 53.3% | 49.6% | 1382 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Water Fractal | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 50.4% | 53.3% | 50.2% | 1205 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 50.3% | 46.7% | 50.1% | 1222 | — |
| 6 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 12.5% | 2 | 0.0% | 49.3% | 40.0% | 49.6% | 1180 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Water Suited | 1 | 12.5% | 1 | 0.0% | 50.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | 1276 | — |
| 8 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 1 | 12.5% | 2 | 0.0% | 49.4% | 40.0% | 49.6% | 1134 | ↓ low |