← Lokalne granie

Wind SeiryuuTier 1

at Lokalne granie

decks
2 (18.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6 3-3-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.5% avg ELO +0.8 per match
expected value
50.0% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.6% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1274 · median 1274 · range 1220–1328 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1060 Q1 1195 Q3 1338 1430
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Allies 18.2% 0
Fire Aetherwing 9.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 48.6% -2.3
Fire Crux Mage 9.1% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 50.0% +0.0
Fire Polkhawk 9.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.4% +2.3
Fire Umbra Guardian 9.1% 0
Water Tera Diao Chan 9.1% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 52.5% +2.4
Water Whirlpool Mill 9.1% 0
Wind Arcane 9.1% 0
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Wind Seiryuu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 18 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 18 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Resolute Stand +1.00 1 0 0
Royal Oathguard +1.00 1 0 0
Displace -1.00 0 1 0
Auspicious Manifestation -1.00 0 1 0
Veiling Breeze +1.00 1 0 0
Forest Cake -1.00 0 1 0
Ensnaring Fumes +1.00 1 0 0
Dissipation -1.00 0 1 0
Fairy Whispers -1.00 0 1 0
Spellward Scepter -1.00 0 1 0
Scatter Essence +1.00 1 0 0
Beseeched Fatestone -1.00 0 1 0
Topsy Decree -1.00 0 1 0
Stolen Chance -1.00 0 1 0
Beseech the Winds +1.00 1 0 0
Blanche, Sheltering Saint +1.00 1 0 0
Harness Lightning -1.00 0 1 0
Nullifying Lantern +1.00 1 0 0

JSON: /api/events/51024/archetypes/Wind Seiryuu