← Store Championship PTM season - Kamenn Enterprise
Water FractalTier 1
at Store Championship PTM season - Kamenn Enterprise
decks
2
(9.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
6-4-0
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
55.2%
avg ELO +2.3 per match
expected value
50.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1254
· median 1254
· range 1237–1271
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
999
Q1 1165
Q3 1322
1505
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Oblation | 9.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.5% | -15.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.2% | +11.6 |
| Fire Exia | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.1% | -9.5 |
| Fire Umbra Alice | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.0% | +9.5 |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.2% | -12.6 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.8% | +14.1 |
| Water Crux Mage | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.3% | +13.3 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Assassin | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.6% | +5.8 |
| Wind Nico | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.6% | -7.0 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.3% | +13.4 |
