← Store Championship PTM season - Kamenn Enterprise

Water FractalTier 1

at Store Championship PTM season - Kamenn Enterprise

decks
2 (9.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10 6-4-0
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
55.2% avg ELO +2.3 per match
expected value
50.9% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.5% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1254 · median 1254 · range 1237–1271 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
999 Q1 1165 Q3 1322 1505
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Oblation 9.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.5% -15.3
Fire Aggro 4.8% 0
Fire Crux Lorraine 4.8% 0
Fire Crux Mage 4.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.2% +11.6
Fire Exia 4.8% 0
Fire Firebloom Burn 4.8% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 4.8% 0
Fire Suzaku 4.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 44.1% -9.5
Fire Umbra Alice 4.8% 0
Fire Umbra Ciel 4.8% 0
Horse and Taxes 4.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.0% +9.5
Water Aetherwing 4.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.2% -12.6
Water Astra Ranger 4.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.8% +14.1
Water Crux Mage 4.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.3% +13.3
Wind Astra Cleric 4.8% 0
Wind Crux Assassin 4.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 53.6% +5.8
Wind Nico 4.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 45.6% -7.0
Wind Seiryuu 4.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.3% +13.4
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Water Fractal decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/51554/archetypes/Water Fractal