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Fire OblationTier 1
at The Card Shop RDO Grand Archive Store Championship
Pilot Skill ↑ top
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 14.3% | 6 | 4-2-0 | 66.7% | 60.0% | 58.9% | +4.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 9.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.8% | +7.7 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.9% | +22.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.8% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 62.1% | +9.0 |
| Fire Slimes | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.2% | +16.3 |
| Fire Suited | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.5% | -10.4 |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 4.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 61.2% | +10.7 |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 64.1% | +13.5 |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Fire Oblation decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 3 mirror matches (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Golden Checkmate, Staggering Strike, Enfeebling Orb. Losers more often ran: Heavenly Guide, Expel the Departed, Ionized Asceticism.
Show all 29 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 13 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden Checkmate | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Undeniable Truth | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Heavenly Guide | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Expel the Departed | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Enfeebling Orb | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Umbra Sight | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Ionized Asceticism | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Folded Shadows | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Devastating Blow | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Abnegation | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Carter, Synthetic Reaper | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Advent of the Stormcaller | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Annul Spell | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Nocturne's Oblivion | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Smoke Out | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Devouring Malice | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reduce to Ash | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Rictus Tiding | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Topsy Decree | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Prismspire Scepter | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |