← Gralnia i Grand Archive - Radiant Origins Store Championship
Fire Crux MageTier 1
at Gralnia i Grand Archive - Radiant Origins Store Championship
decks
2
(14.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
6-3-3
overall winrate
62.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.8%
avg ELO +1.6 per match
expected value
52.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1280
· median 1280
· range 1130–1430
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1096
Q1 1158
Q3 1354
1439
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Suited | 14.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 7.1% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 58.5% | +8.2 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.8% | -21.2 |
| Water Astra Diana | 7.1% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 52.4% | +2.3 |
| Water Fractal | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.9% | -9.7 |
| Water Neos | 7.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.9% | +12.4 |
| Wind Arcane | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.2% | -14.1 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 7.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.6% | -3.8 |
| Wind Lorraine | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.4% | +5.5 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.5% | +16.7 |
