Water Astra RangerTier 1
at Torneo REVELFEST
decks
1
(10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
3-0-1
overall winrate
87.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.7%
avg ELO +1.7 per match
expected value
57.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1278
· median 1278
· range 1278–1278
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1115
Q1 1186
Q3 1256
1278
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dawn of Ashes | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.8% | +2.9 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 10.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.3 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.2% | +1.9 |
| Wind Razorgale | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.5% | +2.5 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Astra Ranger decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
