← Kobold's Keep RDO Store Championship

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Kobold's Keep RDO Store Championship . EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Water Aetherwing 1 10.0% 3 66.7% 46.7% 55.0% 49.7% 1430 ↑ top
2 Wind Slimes 1 10.0% 3 83.3% 61.2% 55.0% 53.3% 1263 ↑ top
3 Water Neos 1 10.0% 3 66.7% 54.9% 53.3% 52.3% 1213
4 Wind Razorgale 2 20.0% 4 62.5% 62.6% 52.5% 55.0% 1177 ↓ low
5 Fire Exia 1 10.0% 3 50.0% 53.7% 50.0% 51.7% 1163 ↓ low
6 Fire Suited 1 10.0% 3 50.0% 52.2% 50.0% 51.0% 1196
7 Water Genbu 1 10.0% 3 33.3% 46.3% 46.7% 48.3% 1177 ↓ low
8 Fire Aetherwing 1 10.0% 3 33.3% 39.3% 45.0% 43.1% 1205
9 Water Astra Diana 1 10.0% 3 0.0% 31.2% 40.0% 41.3% 1122 ↓ low