← Heretics Haven - Radiant Origins Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Heretics Haven - Radiant Origins Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 11.1% | 4 | 100.0% | 57.1% | 60.0% | 52.8% | 1617 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Suited | 1 | 11.1% | 5 | 80.0% | 68.6% | 56.0% | 56.7% | 1217 | — |
| 3 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 1 | 11.1% | 4 | 75.0% | 63.9% | 55.0% | 55.5% | 1332 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Horse and Taxes | 1 | 11.1% | 4 | 50.0% | 43.9% | 50.0% | 47.6% | 1338 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 11.1% | 5 | 40.0% | 50.9% | 48.0% | 50.3% | 1197 | — |
| 6 | Luxem Mordred | 1 | 11.1% | 4 | 37.5% | 44.1% | 47.5% | 47.6% | 1147 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Wind Lorraine | 1 | 11.1% | 3 | 33.3% | 48.3% | 46.7% | 49.2% | 1209 | — |
| 8 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 11.1% | 3 | 16.7% | 48.9% | 43.3% | 49.5% | 989 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Water Slice & Dice | 1 | 11.1% | 3 | 16.7% | 33.8% | 43.3% | 42.4% | 1206 | — |
| 10 | Water Whirlpool Mill | 1 | 11.1% | 3 | 16.7% | 33.8% | 43.3% | 42.4% | 1206 | — |