← CoreTCG G.A. Radiant Origin Store Championships

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at CoreTCG G.A. Radiant Origin Store Championships. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Wind Razorgale 2 15.4% 9 61.1% 53.2% 56.2% 53.8% 1414 ↑ top
2 Fire Byakko 1 7.7% 3 83.3% 64.2% 55.0% 56.9% 1345
3 Fire Crux Mage 1 7.7% 3 83.3% 64.2% 55.0% 56.9% 1345
4 Fire Crux Lorraine 3 23.1% 13 65.4% 47.4% 54.7% 48.9% 1411 ↑ top
5 Fire Suzaku 1 7.7% 4 75.0% 60.7% 51.4% 52.5% 1569 ↑ top
6 Water Luxem Assassin 1 7.7% 4 50.0% 52.1% 48.6% 51.3% 1335
7 Fire Suited 1 7.7% 3 33.3% 50.4% 45.0% 48.8% 1089 ↓ low
8 Slimes 1 7.7% 5 20.0% 41.6% 43.3% 46.3% 1183 ↓ low
9 Fire Slimes 2 15.4% 6 16.7% 39.8% 38.0% 44.0% 1230 ↓ low
10 Luxem Mordred 1 7.7% 4 0.0% 34.7% 36.0% 42.7% 1055 ↓ low