← [TCG] Grand Archive Online League NA Weekly 5/14/2026
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 2
at [TCG] Grand Archive Online League NA Weekly 5/14/2026
decks
2
(5.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
5-2-1
overall winrate
68.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.3%
avg ELO +0.2 per match
expected value
48.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1374
· median 1374
· range 1282–1466
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1090
Q1 1190
Q3 1407
1560
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.3% | -1.1 |
| Water Fractal | 7.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 7.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.4 |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Alice | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 2.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Crescendo | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 2.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.9% | +1.4 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.2% | +0.3 |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.4% | +2.2 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Horse and Taxes | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luxem Mordred | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Suited | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
