Fire Crux LorraineTier 1
at GA RDO 拉比店冠賽
decks
1
(9.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
2-2-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
59.1%
avg ELO +5.8 per match
expected value
53.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1209
· median 1209
· range 1209–1209
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1147
Q1 1253
Q3 1460
1543
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 27.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.4% | +15.1 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.3% | +16.5 |
| Water Aetherwing | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.3% | -6.0 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.5% | -2.3 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Lorraine decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
