Fire Crux LorraineTier 1
at ACMETCG STORE CHAMPIOMSHIP
decks
2
(13.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
3-3-1
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.9%
avg ELO +2.0 per match
expected value
50.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1265
· median 1265
· range 1193–1337
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1063
Q1 1263
Q3 1371
1563
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 13.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.7% | +2.6 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.1% | -11.0 |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.7% | +15.5 |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.7% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 42.3% | -7.4 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.9% | +11.0 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.4% | +10.2 |
