Wind Umbra CielTier 2
at 2do Torneo de Mayo
decks
1
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
1-2-0
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.7%
avg ELO -1.0 per match
expected value
45.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1211
· median 1211
· range 1211–1211
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1115
Q1 1188
Q3 1224
1276
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 25.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.0% | -3.2 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.4% | -2.6 |
| Wind Kongming | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.8% | +2.9 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Umbra Ciel decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
