← Radiant Origins Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Radiant Origins Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Genbu | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 87.5% | 52.5% | 57.5% | 51.0% | 1509 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 75.0% | 58.7% | 55.0% | 53.5% | 1455 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 75.0% | 63.3% | 55.0% | 55.3% | 1316 | — |
| 4 | Wind Luxem Assassin | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 62.5% | 50.8% | 52.5% | 50.3% | 1330 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Wind Arisanna | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 62.5% | 51.2% | 52.5% | 50.5% | 1278 | — |
| 6 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 50.0% | 49.2% | 50.0% | 49.7% | 1284 | — |
| 7 | Fire Exia | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 37.5% | 49.0% | 47.5% | 49.6% | 1207 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Fire Aetherwing | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 25.0% | 48.5% | 45.0% | 49.4% | 1142 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Fire Oblation | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 25.0% | 45.2% | 45.0% | 48.1% | 1143 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Luxem Mordred | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 0.0% | 31.6% | 40.0% | 42.6% | 1059 | ↓ low |