← Gonza Grand Archive Store Championship

SlimesTier 2

at Gonza Grand Archive Store Championship

decks
3 (37.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10 4-6-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
38.8% avg ELO -5.0 per match
expected value
44.8% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
42.9% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1280 · median 1354 · range 1115–1372 (3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1086 Q1 1183 Q3 1353 1372
67% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Allies 25.0% 5 1-4-0 20.0% 33.3% 33.2% -9.7
Fire Crux Merlin 12.5% 3 2-1-0 66.7% 57.1% 52.0% +1.5
Water Ravishing Mill 12.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 39.1% -17.5
Wind Shadowstrike 12.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.0% +11.1
Decklists · 3 from this event

The 3 public Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 21 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 21 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Resolute Stand +1.00 1 0 0
Beastbond Paws -1.00 0 1 0
Ordinary Bear +1.00 1 0 0
Blissful Calling +1.00 1 0 0
Channeling Stone -1.00 0 1 0
Slime King +1.00 1 0 0
Beastbond Boots +1.00 1 0 0
Bauble of Mending -1.00 0 1 0
Lustrous Slime +1.00 1 0 0
Hymn of Gaia's Grace +1.00 1 0 0
Baby Blue Slime -1.00 0 1 0
Fast Cure +1.00 1 0 0
Gaia's Songbird +1.00 1 0 0
Turbo Charge -1.00 0 1 0
Slime Eruption -1.00 0 1 0
Red Slime -1.00 0 1 0
Verdant Scepter +1.00 1 0 0
Tariff Ring -1.00 0 1 0
Twilight Slime +1.00 1 0 0
Crimson Protective Trinket +1.00 1 0 0
Slime Nexus -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/5604/archetypes/Slimes