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Water Ravishing MillTier 1
at Gamersshop Store Championships
decks
1
(8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
2
0-0-2
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.8%
avg ELO +0.7 per match
expected value
50.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1341
· median 1341
· range 1341–1341
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1065
Q1 1348
Q3 1449
1642
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 33.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 33.3% | 2 | 0-0-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.8% | +0.7 |
| Fire Umbra Tristan | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Hybrid | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Ravishing Mill decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
