← The Armoury Wargames & Hobbies Grand Archive Store Championship
Water AlliesTier 1
at The Armoury Wargames & Hobbies Grand Archive Store Championship
decks
1
(14.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
1-1-1
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.6%
avg ELO -2.6 per match
expected value
50.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1282
· median 1282
· range 1282–1282
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1138
Q1 1216
Q3 1306
1474
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 28.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.9% | -1.8 |
| Fire Erupting | 14.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 14.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 14.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.2% | -15.6 |
| Wind Tonoris | 14.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.1% | +9.7 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Allies decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
