← VGMX Grand Archive Store Championship
Water VanitasTier 2
at VGMX Grand Archive Store Championship
decks
1
(8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
1-3-0
overall winrate
25.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
40.1%
avg ELO -6.3 per match
expected value
43.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
44.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1247
· median 1247
· range 1247–1247
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1023
Q1 1195
Q3 1311
1652
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 25.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.8% | -14.7 |
| Slimes | 16.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Diana | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.5% | +15.3 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.0% | -14.5 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.8% | -11.5 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Vanitas decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
