← Jester Games Store Store Championships
Water Ravishing MillTier 1
at Jester Games Store Store Championships
decks
1
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
3-1-0
overall winrate
75.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
62.0%
avg ELO +7.7 per match
expected value
58.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
57.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1207
· median 1207
· range 1207–1207
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1067
Q1 1163
Q3 1262
1311
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 37.5% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 55.8% | +4.3 |
| Slimes | 25.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.1% | +17.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Ravishing Mill decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
