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Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2

at Strictly Broken TCG Store Championship

decks
3 (75.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5 1-4-0
overall winrate
20.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
40.3% avg ELO -5.6 per match
expected value
33.3% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
40.3% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1243 · median 1259 · range 1199–1272 (3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1112 Q1 1181 Q3 1273 1587
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Crux Lorraine 25.0% 5 1-4-0 20.0% 33.3% 40.3% -5.6
Decklists · 3 from this event

The 3 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 25 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 25 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Dungeon Guide +1.00 2 0 0
Scout the Land +1.00 2 0 0
Beseech the Winds -1.00 0 2 0
Ensnaring Fumes -1.00 0 2 0
Eternal Magistrate -1.00 0 2 0
Sadi, Blood Harvester -1.00 0 2 0
Sirocco Operative -1.00 0 2 0
Innervate Agility +1.00 2 0 0
Reclaim -0.50 0 1 1
Sharpen Blade +0.50 1 0 0
Veiling Breeze -0.50 0 1 1
Gearstride Gloves +0.50 1 0 0
Shadow Resonance +0.50 1 0 1
Backup Charger -0.50 0 1 1
Windmill Engineer -0.50 0 1 1
Reprogram +0.50 1 0 1
Fairy Whispers -0.50 0 1 1
Swift Recruit +0.50 1 0 0
Shadow's Claw -0.50 0 1 1
Zephyr -0.50 0 1 1
Shimmercloak Assassin +0.50 1 0 0
Turbo Charge +0.50 1 0 0
Poisoned Dagger +0.50 1 0 0
Slice and Dice +0.00 1 1 0
Imperial Spy +0.00 1 1 0

JSON: /api/events/6246/archetypes/Wind Shadowstrike