← Retro Exchange Store Championships 7/14
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at Retro Exchange Store Championships 7/14
decks
2
(14.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
3-6-0
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
42.4%
avg ELO -3.5 per match
expected value
44.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1196
· median 1196
· range 1129–1262
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1129
Q1 1178
Q3 1354
1517
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 14.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.9% | -14.6 |
| Wind Neos | 14.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.0% | -9.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Beast | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 7.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.8% | -1.2 |
| Water Allies | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.4% | -9.0 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.4% | +11.9 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.4% | +11.9 |
| Wind Slimes | 7.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 39.8% | -9.8 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
