← FTG Grand Archive Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at FTG Grand Archive Store Championship .
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slimes | 1 | 14.3% | 2 | 100.0% | 66.1% | 60.0% | 59.7% | 1536 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 14.3% | 3 | 83.3% | 67.7% | 56.7% | 58.3% | 1235 | ↓ low |
| 3 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 14.3% | 3 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 1200 | ↓ low |
| 4 | Norm Tera Silvie | 1 | 14.3% | 3 | 50.0% | 49.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | 1201 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Wind Allies | 1 | 14.3% | 3 | 50.0% | 48.0% | 50.0% | 49.1% | 1382 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 14.3% | 2 | 0.0% | 36.1% | 40.0% | 41.6% | 1364 | — |
| 7 | Wind Umbra Tristan | 1 | 14.3% | 2 | 0.0% | 30.6% | 40.0% | 38.4% | 1352 | — |