← GATCG MRC Store Championships @ Favonia Hobbies
Wind AlliesTier 2
at GATCG MRC Store Championships @ Favonia Hobbies
decks
6
(31.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
19
4-14-1
overall winrate
23.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
38.6%
avg ELO -4.4 per match
expected value
41.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1203
· median 1195
· range 1049–1404
(6 pilots with an ELO rating)
1049
Q1 1222
Q3 1416
1535
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
67% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 10.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 41.5% | -8.2 |
| Water Allies | 10.5% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 42.5% | -5.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.4% | +11.8 |
| Fire Arcane | 5.3% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.9% | +0.7 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 5.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 39.6% | -10.0 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.9% | -12.9 |
| Water Rai | 5.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 37.0% | -12.5 |
| Wind Diana | 5.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.5% | +0.5 |
| Wind Slimes | 5.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 37.4% | -12.1 |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.5% | +16.8 |
Decklists · 6 from this event
The 6 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 4 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 4 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Attune with the Winds, Safeguard Amulet, Eye of Argus. Losers more often ran: Lurking Assailant, Eternal Magistrate, Armored Valkyrie.
Attune with the Winds
Winning decks ran 1.8
copies on average,
losing decks 0.5.
Of 4 mirrors: the winner ran more in
3, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 0.
Safeguard Amulet
Winning decks ran 0.8
copies on average,
losing decks 0.2.
Of 4 mirrors: the winner ran more in
3, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 0.
Eye of Argus
Winning decks ran 0.5
copies on average,
losing decks 0.2.
Of 4 mirrors: the winner ran more in
2, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 1.
Woodland Squirrels
Winning decks ran 2.0
copies on average,
losing decks 1.0.
Of 4 mirrors: the winner ran more in
2, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 1.
Rallied Advance
Winning decks ran 2.0
copies on average,
losing decks 0.5.
Of 4 mirrors: the winner ran more in
2, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 1.
Swift Recruit
Winning decks ran 2.0
copies on average,
losing decks 0.8.
Of 4 mirrors: the winner ran more in
2, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 1.
Lurking Assailant
Losing decks ran 4.0
copies on average,
winning decks 3.2.
Of 4 mirrors: the loser ran more in
3, the winner ran more in 0,
both ran the same in 1.
Eternal Magistrate
Losing decks ran 1.8
copies on average,
winning decks 0.5.
Of 4 mirrors: the loser ran more in
3, the winner ran more in 0,
both ran the same in 1.
Armored Valkyrie
Losing decks ran 1.5
copies on average,
winning decks 0.5.
Of 4 mirrors: the loser ran more in
3, the winner ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 0.
Deflecting Edge
Losing decks ran 3.5
copies on average,
winning decks 2.8.
Of 4 mirrors: the loser ran more in
3, the winner ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 0.
Wind Resonance Bauble
Losing decks ran 0.8
copies on average,
winning decks 0.2.
Of 4 mirrors: the loser ran more in
3, the winner ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 0.
Charged Mannequin
Losing decks ran 2.0
copies on average,
winning decks 1.0.
Of 4 mirrors: the loser ran more in
2, the winner ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 1.
Show all 86 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 66 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lurking Assailant | -0.75 | 0 | 3 | 1 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | -0.75 | 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| Cleansing Reunion | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Armored Valkyrie | -0.50 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| Heavy Swing | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Displace | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Attune with the Winds | +0.50 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tonoris, Might of Humanity | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Deflecting Edge | -0.50 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| Tonoris, Lone Mercenary | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Windmill Engineer | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | -0.50 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| Bulwark Sword | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.50 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Trained Hawk | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Shimmercloak Assassin | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Charged Mannequin | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Eye of Argus | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Woodland Squirrels | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Rallied Advance | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Manufacture Cell | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Andronika, Eternal Herald | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Ornamental Greatsword | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Lorraine, Blademaster | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Swift Recruit | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Zephyr | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| Lorraine, Wandering Warrior | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Dream Fairy | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| Prototype Pistol | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Windpiercer | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Windwalker Boots | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zander, Deft Executor | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sable Remnant | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sword of Seeking | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Slice and Dice | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Life Essence Amulet | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Assassin's Ripper | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Inspiring Call | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Surveil the Winds | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Poised Strike | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fairy Whispers | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Arrow Trap | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Corhazi Outlook | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Poisoned Dagger | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zander, Prepared Scout | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blackmarket Broker | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Shred to Ribbons | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sword of Adversity | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Summon Gale | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Savage Slash | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sharpening Stone | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Strategic Warfare | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Honorable Vanguard | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Song of Nurturing | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Wildgrowth Elixir | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Drawn Blade | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Warrior's Longsword | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Imperial Recruit | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Rose, Eternal Paragon | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Gildas, Chronicler of Aesa | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Vigilant Sentry | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Windrider Vanguard | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Cry for Help | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Smoke Bombs | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Hurricane Sweep | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Second Wind | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Favorable Winds | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Poisoned Coating Oil | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Reprogram | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Tithe Proclamation | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Enchaining Gale | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Esteemed Knight | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Banner Knight | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Phalanx Captain | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |