Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at grand archive store champ
decks
2
(33.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
3-1-2
overall winrate
66.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.8%
avg ELO +4.2 per match
expected value
55.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1456
· median 1456
· range 1337–1574
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1056
Q1 1183
Q3 1392
1574
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 33.3% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 54.7% | +3.5 |
| Water Allies | 16.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.7% | +1.1 |
| Wind Allies | 16.7% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 57.0% | +6.7 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
