← DeckaDice MRC Store Championship

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at DeckaDice MRC Store Championship. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Slimes 3 75.0% 1 100.0% 56.3% 60.0% 56.3% 1312
2 Fire Crux Hybrid 1 25.0% 1 0.0% 43.7% 40.0% 43.7% 1132 ↓ low