SlimesTier 2
at Canyon Store Champ
decks
3
(25.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
4-4-2
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.9%
avg ELO -0.0 per match
expected value
49.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1268
· median 1305
· range 1171–1328
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1124
Q1 1310
Q3 1501
1574
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
67% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 16.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.1% | +3.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.4% | -12.2 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.1% | +12.9 |
| Water Crux Mage | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.4% | +13.4 |
| Water Neos | 8.3% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 52.5% | +2.4 |
| Wind Crux Hybrid | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.0% | -11.3 |
| Wind Crux Merlin | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.1% | -12.6 |
| Wind Diana | 8.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.1% | -1.5 |
