← Games For Meeple - MRC Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Games For Meeple - MRC Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slimes | 2 | 25.0% | 4 | 87.5% | 67.0% | 63.2% | 62.3% | 1390 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Crux Hybrid | 1 | 12.5% | 1 | 100.0% | 63.5% | 60.0% | 63.5% | 1305 | — |
| 3 | Wind Shadowstrike | 3 | 37.5% | 5 | 30.0% | 35.3% | 42.9% | 41.3% | 1314 | — |
| 4 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 12.5% | 1 | 0.0% | 43.6% | 40.0% | 43.6% | 1457 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Wind Umbra Diana | 1 | 12.5% | 1 | 0.0% | 42.2% | 40.0% | 42.2% | 1250 | — |