← Grand Archive Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Grand Archive Store Championship .
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 25.0% | 1 | 100.0% | 59.3% | 60.0% | 59.3% | 1418 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Crux Hybrid | 1 | 25.0% | 1 | 50.0% | 52.1% | 50.0% | 52.1% | 1351 | — |
| 3 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 25.0% | 1 | 50.0% | 47.9% | 50.0% | 47.9% | 1532 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Wind Allies | 1 | 25.0% | 1 | 0.0% | 40.7% | 40.0% | 40.7% | 1405 | ↑ top |