← Dragonlord Games Würzburg - MRC Store Championship

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Dragonlord Games Würzburg - MRC Store Championship. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Wind Shadowstrike 1 25.0% 5 100.0% 76.3% 64.4% 63.7% 1543 ↑ top
2 Slimes 1 25.0% 3 33.3% 41.6% 46.7% 45.8% 1454 ↑ top
3 Water Allies 1 25.0% 3 33.3% 43.6% 46.7% 47.0% 1490 ↑ top
4 Wind Lorraine 1 25.0% 3 0.0% 31.0% 36.7% 38.2% 1195 ↓ low