← Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 9/5/2024
Fire AggroTier 1
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 9/5/2024
decks
3
(6.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
7-3-0
overall winrate
70.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.7%
avg ELO +1.2 per match
expected value
54.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1160
· median 1200
· range 1000–1281
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1000
Q1 1192
Q3 1411
1638
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 19.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.3% | +2.1 |
| Wind Allies | 8.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 52.0% | +2.0 |
| Fire Arcane | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 4.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Diana | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.4% | +2.3 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.2% | +1.9 |
| Fire Neos | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Arcane | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Arcane Rai | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Beast | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.3% | +2.1 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Water Tera Silvie | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Fire Aggro decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
