← Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 9/5/2024
Water ArcaneTier 2
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 9/5/2024
decks
1
(2.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
2
0-2-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.1%
avg ELO -1.8 per match
expected value
40.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1210
· median 1210
· range 1210–1210
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1000
Q1 1192
Q3 1411
1638
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 19.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 8.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 4.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.0% | -1.6 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.8% | -2.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Diana | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Arcane Rai | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Beast | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Silvie | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Arcane decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
