← Pichubros' Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Pichubros' Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slimes | 2 | 25.0% | 7 | 71.4% | 68.9% | 55.4% | 58.3% | 1254 | — |
| 2 | Fire Lorraine | 1 | 12.5% | 5 | 60.0% | 51.4% | 53.1% | 51.3% | 1391 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Allies | 2 | 25.0% | 6 | 41.7% | 38.2% | 48.0% | 44.6% | 1350 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 12.5% | 4 | 37.5% | 42.2% | 46.0% | 45.6% | 1196 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 47.0% | 45.0% | 47.7% | 1184 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Wind Allies | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 47.3% | 45.0% | 47.6% | 1226 | — |