← HeldenTaverne Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at HeldenTaverne Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 10.0% | 6 | 83.3% | 69.5% | 58.3% | 58.1% | 1214 | — |
| 2 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 10.0% | 6 | 66.7% | 58.9% | 56.7% | 56.0% | 1454 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Umbra Ranger | 1 | 10.0% | 5 | 60.0% | 55.1% | 53.3% | 52.9% | 1157 | — |
| 4 | Wind Allies | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 62.5% | 56.4% | 52.0% | 52.1% | 1195 | — |
| 5 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.0% | 49.7% | 1109 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Wind Beast | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 50.0% | 48.7% | 50.0% | 49.5% | 1244 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Fire Arcane | 2 | 20.0% | 9 | 38.9% | 43.2% | 47.6% | 47.9% | 1134 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Water Tera Silvie | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 25.0% | 39.0% | 44.0% | 44.7% | 1117 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Water Umbra Ranger | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 0.0% | 26.2% | 40.0% | 40.5% | 1142 | ↓ low |