Fire EruptingTier 1
at JWW Store Championship
decks
1
(7.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
3-1-1
overall winrate
70.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.6%
avg ELO +4.4 per match
expected value
55.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1689
· median 1689
· range 1689–1689
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1079
Q1 1161
Q3 1370
1689
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 21.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.9% | +12.6 |
| Water Allies | 21.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.8% | +15.7 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 14.3% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 40.7% | -9.0 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 14.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Vanitas | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.1% | +11.4 |
| Wind Crux Hybrid | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Erupting decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
