← Store Championship - Alchemical Revolution - Wombat Games
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Store Championship - Alchemical Revolution - Wombat Games.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Allies | 1 | 12.5% | 5 | 90.0% | 70.4% | 61.7% | 60.7% | 1354 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Luxem Assassin | 1 | 12.5% | 5 | 70.0% | 61.6% | 57.1% | 57.1% | 1205 | — |
| 3 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 12.5% | 5 | 60.0% | 53.8% | 54.7% | 53.7% | 1221 | — |
| 4 | Fire Umbra Ranger | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 44.9% | 50.0% | 50.7% | 1148 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Wind Tera Silvie | 1 | 12.5% | 5 | 40.0% | 42.9% | 48.3% | 47.7% | 1297 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 16.7% | 37.4% | 45.0% | 45.5% | 1061 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Water Astra Cleric | 2 | 25.0% | 4 | 12.5% | 33.1% | 42.5% | 43.3% | 1164 | ↓ low |