← Store Championship - Mortal Ambition
Fire Crux MageTier 2
at Store Championship - Mortal Ambition
decks
2
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
1-4-1
overall winrate
25.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.0%
avg ELO -1.6 per match
expected value
41.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1472
· median 1472
· range 1437–1508
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1058
Q1 1174
Q3 1365
1508
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 12.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 46.5% | -3.3 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.8% | -1.9 |
| Wind Razorgale | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 48.3% | -1.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Kongming | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.4% | +2.2 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Crux Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
