← Store Championship - Mortal Ambition

SlimesTier 2

at Store Championship - Mortal Ambition

decks
2 (12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8 4-4-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.8% avg ELO +0.4 per match
expected value
49.4% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.2% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1372 · median 1372 · range 1302–1442 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1058 Q1 1174 Q3 1365 1508
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Crux Mage 12.5% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 53.5% +3.3
Water Ravishing Mill 12.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 48.1% -3.0
Wind Allies 12.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 48.6% -2.2
Wind Razorgale 12.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 52.4% +3.8
Wind Shadowstrike 12.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 48.7% -2.0
Fire Aggro 6.2% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 48.1% -3.0
Fire Astra Cleric 6.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.7% +2.7
Fire Luxem Assassin 6.2% 0
Fire Tera Kongming 6.2% 0
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 15 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 15 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Unbroken Mustang +1.00 1 0 0
Dungeon Guide -1.00 0 1 0
Blissful Calling -1.00 0 1 0
Heavenly Guide +1.00 1 0 0
Mystic Purifier +1.00 1 0 0
Grand Crusader's Ring +1.00 1 0 0
Kind Beastcaller -1.00 0 1 0
Slime's Blessing +1.00 1 0 0
Backup Charger -1.00 0 1 0
Scavenging Raccoon -1.00 0 1 0
Gaia's Songbird -1.00 0 1 0
Reprogram -1.00 0 1 0
Verdant Slime +1.00 1 0 0
Nullifying Mirror +1.00 1 0 0
Twilight Slime -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/13037/archetypes/Slimes