← Favonia Kampar Grand Opening WIN HALF CASE Tournament
Wind AlliesTier 1
at Favonia Kampar Grand Opening WIN HALF CASE Tournament
decks
3
(15.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
19
8-7-4
overall winrate
52.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.0%
avg ELO -0.8 per match
expected value
52.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1222
· median 1167
· range 1055–1444
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1055
Q1 1221
Q3 1416
1465
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
67% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 26.3% | 7 | 4-2-1 | 64.3% | 59.1% | 48.4% | -0.8 |
| Water Tera Mage | 10.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.7% | -0.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.3% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 51.6% | +1.5 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.4% | -2.5 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 5.3% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 51.6% | +1.5 |
| Fire Exia Jin | 5.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 46.5% | -3.3 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Water Lorraine | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia Jin | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.4% | -2.6 |
| Wind Razorgale | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.9% | -3.4 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
