← SGCCC Mortal Ambition season Store Championship
Wind ExiaTier 2
at SGCCC Mortal Ambition season Store Championship
decks
1
(4.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
1-2-1
overall winrate
37.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.3%
avg ELO -0.4 per match
expected value
47.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1130
· median 1130
· range 1130–1130
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1041
Q1 1136
Q3 1379
1535
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 25.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | -0.8 |
| Water Allies | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.6% | -5.5 |
| Wind Razorgale | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.7% | +15.6 |
| Wind Allies | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.1% | -11.0 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Exia decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
