← Yeti Gaming Webcam Locals 10/24/2024
Water AlliesTier 2
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Locals 10/24/2024
decks
4
(6.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
3-6-1
overall winrate
35.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.0%
avg ELO -0.5 per match
expected value
46.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1371
· median 1370
· range 1196–1548
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1000
Q1 1197
Q3 1359
1638
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
25% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 14.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 6.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 49.1% | -0.8 |
| Water Tera Mage | 6.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 6.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.0% | -1.7 |
| Wind Exia | 6.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 4.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.7% | -0.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.0% | +1.7 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Tamer | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.4 |
| Fire Tonoris | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Zander | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Arisanna | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Kongming | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 1.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.6% | -0.7 |
| Water Umbra Diana | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia Jin | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Mage | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Water Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
