← Nor Cal TCG Store Championship
Wind AlliesTier 1
at Nor Cal TCG Store Championship
decks
2
(50.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
3-1-0
overall winrate
75.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
74.1%
avg ELO +15.4 per match
expected value
56.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
62.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1303
· median 1303
· range 1294–1311
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1158
Q1 1299
Q3 1453
1678
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Allies | 25.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 66.2% | +26.0 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 25.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.1% | +4.9 |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 25.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 66.2% | +26.0 |
