← Mortal Ambitions - Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Mortal Ambitions - Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Allies | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 87.5% | 70.0% | 62.0% | 62.5% | 1318 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Cats | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 62.5% | 55.1% | 54.0% | 53.4% | 1244 | — |
| 3 | Slimes | 3 | 30.0% | 12 | 54.2% | 54.0% | 53.0% | 53.0% | 1220 | — |
| 4 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 50.0% | 48.8% | 52.9% | 51.4% | 1268 | — |
| 5 | Water Allies | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 62.5% | 51.7% | 51.7% | 49.1% | 1490 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Fire Exia | 2 | 20.0% | 6 | 33.3% | 43.2% | 42.5% | 44.8% | 1174 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Water Umbra Ranger | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 0.0% | 25.1% | 36.7% | 36.4% | 1157 | ↓ low |