Wind Crux LorraineTier 2
at Store Championship
decks
1
(4.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
1-3-3
overall winrate
35.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
41.3%
avg ELO -4.4 per match
expected value
44.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1136
· median 1136
· range 1136–1136
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1001
Q1 1140
Q3 1349
1479
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Razorgale | 18.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.5% | -11.9 |
| Fire Exia | 13.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 13.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.8% | -13.1 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Cats | 9.1% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 56.4% | +6.1 |
| Fire Arcane | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.8% | -16.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Silvie | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Tamer | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Merlin | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 4.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | -0.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Tamer | 4.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | -0.8 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Crux Lorraine decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
