← VPC Grand Archive Store Championship - ALC Season
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at VPC Grand Archive Store Championship - ALC Season.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Allies | 1 | 12.5% | 2 | 100.0% | 62.2% | 60.0% | 56.8% | 1434 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 1 | 12.5% | 2 | 100.0% | 69.6% | 60.0% | 61.7% | 1368 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Umbra Diana | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 48.3% | 55.0% | 50.8% | 1678 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Fire Umbra Ranger | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 41.8% | 46.7% | 46.2% | 1353 | — |
| 5 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 12.5% | 1 | 0.0% | 44.5% | 40.0% | 44.5% | 1474 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 12.5% | 1 | 0.0% | 42.7% | 40.0% | 42.7% | 1200 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Water Allies | 2 | 25.0% | 2 | 0.0% | 40.3% | 40.0% | 44.2% | 1276 | — |