← Grand Archive Store Championship (AMB Season) @ TAB
Fire Crux MageTier 2
at Grand Archive Store Championship (AMB Season) @ TAB
decks
3
(23.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
3-6-0
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
26.9%
avg ELO -10.7 per match
expected value
44.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
39.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1335
· median 1291
· range 1272–1441
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1029
Q1 1211
Q3 1330
1587
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Ravishing Mill | 15.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 33.6% | -26.3 |
| Wind Razorgale | 15.4% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 33.3% | -10.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 15.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.2% | -20.5 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.9% | -19.4 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.4% | +3.8 |
| Fire Slimes | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.8% | +9.2 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Fire Crux Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
