← Mortal Ambition Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Mortal Ambition Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 9.1% | 4 | 75.0% | 61.3% | 60.0% | 58.1% | 1333 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 9.1% | 4 | 75.0% | 57.7% | 56.0% | 53.3% | 1359 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Allies | 1 | 9.1% | 4 | 75.0% | 50.6% | 54.0% | 47.0% | 1517 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Slimes | 2 | 18.2% | 5 | 40.0% | 49.3% | 53.3% | 54.5% | 1153 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 9.1% | 4 | 62.5% | 50.5% | 52.9% | 50.6% | 1262 | — |
| 6 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 9.1% | 4 | 50.0% | 53.7% | 51.7% | 52.9% | 1114 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Wind Razorgale | 3 | 27.3% | 10 | 35.0% | 44.5% | 44.3% | 46.1% | 1298 | — |
| 8 | Wind Silvie | 1 | 9.1% | 3 | 0.0% | 34.7% | 40.0% | 42.8% | 1141 | ↓ low |